Sweepstakes Club Competition Analysis

Method

This is a very simple analysis of the Unlimited Club category for the November Swwepstakes for the last four years (these results are available from the ARRL web site, I'm too lazy to go dig out the older issues).  The metric I choose to look at is the average club score, that is, the total club score divided by the number of entries for each club.
 
 
1997 SS Unlimited Club Competition
Name Club Score #entries Avg. score
PVRC 12,778,736 154 82,979
NCCC 10,923,976 115 94,991
SCCC 6,681810 51 131,016
YCCC 6,181,914 90 68,688
SMC 5,903,850 70 84,340
1998 SS Unlimited Club Competition
Name Club Score #entries Avg. Score
PVRC 11,953,728 149 80,226
NCCC 9,742,508 103 94,587
SMC 6,624,648 76 87,166
YCCC 5,554,448 82 67,737
MWA 4,924,488 65 75,761

 
1999 SS Unlimited Club Competition
Name Club Score #entries Avg. Score
NCCC 11,713,328 119 98,431
PVRC 11,611,242 139 83,534
YCCC 6,421,482 79 81,284
MWA 5,052,038 63 80,191
FRC 2,756,184 34 81,064
*SMC 5,093,584 48 106,116
* SMC in medium club category for 1999
 
 
2000 SS Unlimited Club Competition
Name Club Score #entries Avg. Score
SMC 14,552,734 211 68,970
NCCC 14,152,580 123 115,061
PVRC 12,213,356 146 83,653
YCCC 6,672,154 90 74,135
MWA 5,832,208 69 84,524

Abbreviations: PVRC - Potomac Valley Radio Club  NCCC - Northern California Contest Club   SCCC - Southern California Contest Club
YCCC - Yankee Clipper Contest Club  SMC - Society of Midwest Contesters  FRC - Frankford Radio Club  MWA - Minnesota Wireless Association

Analysis

Looking at the average club score, there is generally no significant changes from year to year.  PVRC averages about 83k per entry.  NCCC has seen a increase in their average club score over the last several years, and they have a higher average club score than PVRC.  In fact, NCCC typically has the highest club average in the Unlimited category.  I think some of NCCC's increase in average score can be attributed to the peak of the sunspot cycle, where they can maintain nice runs on 10m and 15m that are more productive than what we on the east coast can usually obtain.  If correct, this advantage will decline with the sunspots.

SMC has typically had a club average comparable to PVRC, with the exception of 1999, when they were in the Medium club category, where their average exceeded even NCCC.  SMC's win in 2000 came as a result of the massive number of entries they generated.  These entries comprised mostly modest scores, as evidenced by the significant decrease in their average club score (~85k average to 69k).
 

Conclusion

The Unlimited Club competition, like Sweepstakes itself, is a numbers game.  The general trend is that average club scores don't change significantly from year-to-year.  Hence the key is the number of entries a club can generate.  Clubs like FRC and YCCC could be competitive in the Unlimited Club category if they could rally their troops to turn out in large numbers.  SMC's achievement in 2000 is quite impressive, if no other reason than that they were able to increase the number of their entries so significantly in so short a time period.

The key to PVRC capturing the SS throne again is to simply increase the number of entries we generate.  In some way we must motivate as many of our members to operate SS, at whatever level they are capable of, preferably on both modes, and send in their entries.  This is truly a situation where lots of smaller scores are better than a few big scores.  The question is how to motivate everyone.
 
 
 

Page created by N4GU  06/10/01